Why do the websites that quote the Bolivian ‘blue dollar’ present risks? | ¿Por qué las páginas que cotizan el ‘dólar blue’ boliviano presentan riesgos?

By Raúl Domínguez El Deber:

La moneda extranjera ronda los Bs 11 en las calles de Bolivia/Foto: Ricardo Montero
Foreign currency is around Bs 11 on the streets of Bolivia/Photo: Ricardo Montero

In recent months, the website bolivianblue.com has gained notoriety. Salomón Eid clarifies that its exchange rates are based on cryptocurrencies.

Starting the weekend, the price of the dollar in the black or parallel market, due to the now normalized shortage, had exceeded Bs 11 in some cities in the country, such as Oruro, which has a strong link with trade from Chile. In Santa Cruz, this Sunday, the US dollar surpassed Bs 10.50, and the trend is upward.

As in Argentina, the parallel dollar in Bolivia is already beginning to be called ‘blue’ – in the neighboring country there are up to five exchange rates – and in recent months websites have even emerged that provide exchange rates for the Bolivian ‘blue’ dollar.

The lawyer specialized in banking and finance, Salomón Eid, analyzed the data from the website bolivianblue.com and found that the rate it provides is not based on the value of dollars on the street but on cryptocurrencies whose value is tied to the dollar. The website quotes the “Boliviano Blue” this Sunday at Bs 10.01 for buying and Bs 10.17 for selling.

“This website offers updated information on the blue dollar price compared to the boliviano. With a simple interface, it shows an updated blue dollar buy and sell rate every few minutes. Not much more,” Eid highlighted.

According to the expert, bolivianblue.com solved the problem of the lack of official or unofficial easily accessible information on the price of the parallel dollar in Bolivia, though nothing extraordinary. “Here’s the interesting part: the website gained so much notoriety that it went from being a curiosity site to being the reference for the unofficial dollar in the country. If you ask someone the dollar price, they probably got it from this website,” he noted.

He emphasized that a large number of businesses, traders, tourists, and citizens are making daily decisions based on the information from this website. It is even being used as a reference for the purchase of products such as cars and cell phones.

Eid highlighted that the problem lies in the risks, which he enumerates:

  • Risk 1: The rate on bolivianblue.com is not based on the value of dollars on the street but on cryptocurrencies whose value is tied to the dollar. Two very different things.
  • Risk 2: The cryptocurrency used to calculate these rates, USDT, has limited availability in Bolivia, so the blue dollar price does not reflect the availability of dollars in the country but the availability of USDT. Two very different things.
  • Risk 3: People use this website’s reference without necessarily being aware of these factors when making decisions, although the website warns about it.

“I find it fascinating how a website with few data points can generate such interesting dynamics. Far from criticizing this effort, I believe that society should seek to be better informed, and the purpose of my research is to generate a conversation on these topics,” Eid concluded.ación es generar una conversación sobre estos temas”, concluyó Eid.

One Comment Add yours

  1. Cuñape's avatar Cuñape says:

    I think the exchange rate of USDT to BOB is a may better measurement of the unofficial rate than the one “from the streets”. The street rate is different in every street, let alone city because of the high friction associated with transferring physical money. In comparison, USDT traded on P2P exchanges is a lot more direct and produces a more efficient market, which is way better at price discovery.

    PS: It seems like the new page tracking this is http://www.BolivinBlue.net

Leave a reply to Cuñape Cancel reply