A Democracy in Danger of Regression | Una democracia en peligro de regresión

By Manfredo Kempff, El Diario:

Ever since Rodrigo Paz Pereira took command of the country, we knew he would have to deal with a very complicated government, because we were all aware that the administration of Arce Catacora could hardly have been worse. Inefficiency, corruption, fuel shortages, shameless drug trafficking, parliamentary infighting, interference in the legislature, a lack of dollars, lawsuits, road blockades, stalled diplomacy, nepotism, and every other misfortune that can befall a state—it had it all. We assumed that the disorder left behind by Arce’s MAS government was so great that either Rodrigo Paz or Tuto Quiroga would initially improve the situation and that the nation, once put back in order, would rise again.

I believe that those who voted for Paz, as well as those who did not, wanted to support him in order to move away from the ineffectiveness, theft, and abuses of MAS. After all, at least in speeches, debates, and polls, everyone claimed to be against MAS. What was striking, however, was that the 55% support Arce had received in the previous election had to be somewhere. It has now been confirmed that, through Vice President Lara, a large number of MAS supporters, despite not belonging to the Christian Democratic Party, slipped in by the thousands to vote for the Paz–Lara ticket.

The surprise came when Rodrigo Paz won by a landslide. He left behind Tuto Quiroga, Doria Medina, Reyes Villa, and the other candidates who had lost but still had the determination to run again. It was at that moment, as the runoff election approached, that it became clear that the MAS strategy had been to align itself with every group opposed to Paz Pereira, beginning with the Christian Democrats. The truth is that they were skillful, and there were many of them.

The new government does not seem new. It does not resemble a fresh idea; rather, it continues many of the same vices as its predecessor. Do we support it? Of course we do. Until when? Well, patience seems to be running out, and Rodrigo appears to have less and less political—and probably social—support. Doria Medina was the latest to announce his move toward a “constructive” opposition, meaning that he will not dedicate himself to setting traps but rather to supporting whatever positive measures can be taken. That is something, at least.

But why has the government been unable to pass the necessary laws and why has it maintained a MAS diplomatic corps? Why, if it came to power with parliamentary support that had wiped MAS from its legislative seats? Apparently, because of a major scheme. Evo supporters, Arce supporters, and their offshoots, knowing they would lose to the right represented by Tuto Quiroga and Doria Medina, decided to support Captain Lara, without much fanfare. That, in practice, meant supporting Rodrigo Paz, a centrist who was infinitely more acceptable to the sidelined populist movement.

The result was catastrophic because it was unexpected. Based on some rough calculations, taken only as an indication of the debacle, Parliament ended up being composed of 90% opponents of MAS and its allies. And what happened then? MAS managed to retain control of 90% of the public administration. MAS was erased from Parliament, but it was not erased from power. How could that happen? Not even the president’s personal representatives abroad—the ambassadors—could be replaced. In other words, the interlocutors with friendly governments and international lending institutions remained the same left-wing incompetents from the Morales-Arce era.

What do we do now? There is no option but to support Rodrigo Paz, because turning against him would be to leave him in the arms of Lara and the populist “intelligentsia.” It would be a remarkable victory, unique in Bolivia’s history, if infiltrators managed to seize power without ever winning at the ballot box. At this rate, we are forced to conclude that this democracy is falling headfirst and that the system, for all its apparent beauty, is nothing more than food for the foxes.

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